Why Lockdowns Could Never Reduce the Spread of Respiratory Disease
Respiratory Disease Expert Dr. Mike Yeadon, PhD
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Even if we choose for the sake of argument to accept that there was a lethal pandemic striding across the world, itâs demonstrably NOT true that lockdown made the slightest difference to the apparent spread of cases.
More than 30 peer reviewed journal articles show this. Different states & regions repressed their populations to differing extents. Some had all but no legal restrictions. Others restricted the right to even leave your home to one occasion per week to obtain supplies. Many variations in between.
Now, if the extent to which person to person encounters might occur is a big contributor to community transmission, it ought to be demonstrable that the more harsh or stringent the measures, the lower the rate of âcaseâ growth (essentially, nothing more than the proportion over time of positive test results).
There was no such relationship. Nobody found that lockdowns âworkedâ. If anything, greater stringency of restrictions were associated with HIGHER case rate growth.
The same result is found, wherever they looked at it if the endpoint isnât cases, but deaths. Lockdown didnât save a single soul. It doesnât work.
Itâs clear WHY it doesnât. Again, patiently adopting the official narrative, hereâs what we know. Asymptomatic transmission is so rare as to be epidemiologically irrelevant. Itâs not surprising to me as a respiratory system biologist for decades.
In order to be able to infect somebody else from your lungs to someone elseâs, you need to have a high viral load. But if you do, then you WILL have symptoms. The reason is that the infection is attaching your airway long cells and various branches of your immune system is fighting back. Those attack and defence reactions yield symptoms. Itâs unavoidable. It will always happen.
Guess what? People with symptoms are what we used to call sick, ill, or unwell. And what happens when we are sick? Thatâs right, almost all of us stay at home. Note that this is supposed to be more severe than influenza. Iâve had influenza twice in over 60 years. The first time I was so ill that I lost a couple of days. At its worst, I couldnât get out of bed for more than a couple of minutes.
Weâve established that the best sources of transmission were already at home, having been sick enough to withdraw from everyday interactions with others outside the home or other location.
Now think about adding lockdown. Only the healthy people, lacking symptoms and unable to infect others, were moving about outside. Obviously, reducing contacts between people who arenât able to infect one another made absolutely no difference at all.
You see, lockdown fanatics ( thatâs what they are - members of an irrational cult) believe that ANYONE might infect ANYBODY else. If that was true, sure: lockdowns would work. But it isnât true and they donât.
In the final analysis, transmission isnât a function of number of daily contacts. Itâs a function of a number of potential transmission opportunities each day.
Most transmissions occurred inside, between a symptomatic person and a susceptible person. Where are sick people unavoidably in contact with well people? Yes, hospitals, care homes, and to a lesser extent, the domestic setting. Not outside, between perfectly healthy people. Yet lockdowns almost exclusively impacted those healthy people, causing their businesses to stumble and go under. Remember how brutal authorities kept the boot of lockdowns stamping in innocent human faces, for weeks to months at a time.
Those who put those policies together did so on the basis of learned advice from those who reckon theyâre âexpertsâ. As Iâve shown you, they are either not experts, in which case the politicians accepted guidance from fools or, as I suspect, they knew perfectly well what they were saying was lies, and governments were listening to crooks.
Best wishes,
Dr. Mike Yeadon
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Destroying small businesses and redirecting consumers to spend their money at big businesses sure made that nasty Pandemic sweet for those at the top.
They think lockdowns didn't work because they didn't lock down hard enough. Next time will be worse, if we allow it. These were not rational actions by honest actors. If we don't punish them, they wil persist. And we will deserve it.