Edward Dowd: ‘These Numbers Look Horrific’: Work Absence Rates Are Off the Charts — And It’s Only Gotten Worse
“Something’s going on with our workforce that we’ve never seen before. And it’s gone so far above trend — it’s a health concern.”
By The Vigilant Fox March 28, 2023
The 2022 absence rate “makes absolutely no sense,” exclaimed former Blackrock portfolio manager Edward Dowd. “Something’s going on with our workforce that we’ve never seen before. And it’s gone so far above trend — it’s a health concern.”
“Absences are defined as instances when persons who usually work 35 or more hours a week worked less than 35 hours during the reference week for one of the following reasons: Own illness, injury, or medical problems; child-care problems; other family or personal obligations; civic or military duty; and maternity or paternity leave. Excluded are situations in which work was missed due to vacation or personal days, holiday, labor disputes, and other reasons. For multiple jobholders, absence data refer only to work missed at their main jobs. The absence rate is the ratio of workers with absences to total full-time wage and salary employment,” explained Mr. Dowd on his website.
He noted, “In relative terms, the deviation from trend in 2022, for the total (men+women) full-time workers was about 70%.”
“And that number [absence rates] went up three standard deviations off of trend (2003 to 2019)” in 2020, Mr. Dowd explained. In geek-speak, the chance of something three standard deviations above the mean is 0.3 percent.
Edward Dowd continues. “Three standard deviations is still a big deal. You could make the case for why that happened in 2020. There were lockdowns. There was confusion. People had to scramble with school and all sorts of things. So that makes sense to us. What doesn’t make sense is that in 2021 it persisted and went to five standard deviations. What makes absolutely no sense is the absence rate took off in 2022. And you can see the slope of the line; the rate of change accelerated to the upside in 2022. And that standard deviation was 11. That’s just off the charts!”
As mentioned earlier, something three standard deviations above the mean is very rare, happens 0.3 percent of the time, but at least it remains in the realm of possibility. When we get to standard deviations of 5 and 11, that is astronomically rare. We’re talking about a percentage with multiple zeros before encountering the first non-zero digit.
Something 5 standard deviations, plus or minus, has a 1 in 1,744,278 chance of occurring. Something 7 standard deviations, plus or minus, has a 1 in 390 billion chance of happening. So, an 11 standard deviation literally is “off the charts” and then some.
The following chart shows absence rates among 25 to 54-year-olds.
• Absence rates grew in each consecutive year since 2019.
• In 2022, absence rates were 28.6% higher than in 2019, an extraordinary change which represents a large economic loss of productivity.
“And you can see,” he told doctors Drew Pinsky and Kelly Victory, “took a magnitude leap higher in 2022.”
Edward Dowd moves on to lost worktime rates.
The charts below refer to hours lost per absence. Mr. Dowd breaks down the data:
“In 2020 and 2021, it [lost hours] was seven and a half standard deviations [above the mean]. Again, in 2020, you can make a case for that. 2021, with the introduction of the vaccines, it should have improved, but it went higher. But in 2022, it went 13 standard deviations off the rails,” he informed. “And again, three standard deviations is pretty rare. 13 is unheard of.”
So, what’s causing work time lost to be accelerated?
Mr. Dowd and his colleagues surmise, given their work on excess deaths and disabilities, that the cause is indeed the COVID-19 injections. “Again, we’re not doctors, but what we’re hearing anecdotally and what we’ve seen in the literature is that this vaccine may compromise the immune system. And if so, it seems it accelerated in 2022, with our workforce being constantly sick and calling in sick and missing work. So, these are not disabled; these are injured,” he clarified.
Work hours lost is not just a health issue; it has profound implications for the economy.
“It affects the productivity of the economy, in addition to the disabled and dead. This is lost productivity. And also, when you’re not feeling well, your cognitive abilities go down. And then the people around you who are well have to pick up your slack. And it causes burnout in those individuals as well. So this is this has knock-on effects we can’t even quantify,” Mr. Dowd explained.
The high absence rates lead Edward Dowd to postulate, “Hey, maybe the pandemic is in 2022, not 2020 — statistically. Because this is insane.”
“Something’s going on with our workforce that we’ve never seen before. And it’s gone so far above trend that it’s a health concern. And again, I’ll say this, I believe it’s the vaccines. If it’s not, it needs to be talked about and investigated because this is off the rails.”
He continues. “This is something that I would suspect our institutions would be buzzing about and investigating and trying to figure out because these numbers just look terrific to me, as an analyst. And I would have thought there’d be some public health issue official screaming from the rooftops. It’s crickets. It’s crickets, as far as I can tell. And there’s talk of long COVID, but there doesn’t seem to be a lot of funding for long COVID at the moment. If long COVID’s causing this, there should be billions looking into it right now.”
Dr. Kelly Victory jumps in, saying long COVID should be going down over time.
“I think that the numbers [absence rates/hours lost] continuing to go up in 2022 — that’s not what we’re seeing with the trajectory of long COVID. Over time, those symptoms tend to get better. And so you should see a decrease in those numbers, not a continued increase.”
Dr. Kelly Victory then issues a critical story about how the CDC anticipated 1,000 adverse events a day prior to the rollout of the mRNA injections — so they hired an outside firm, General Dynamics. And instead of seeing 1,000 adverse events a day, the CDC saw rates as high as 4.5 times what was anticipated.
As you can see from page 8 of the pdf, General Dynamics warned the CDC that VAERS had blown through the expected 1,000 cases per day and even reached a level above 4,500 – to the point that GD couldn’t process the data. Mind you, they were never concerned with the human toll, just the logistics of the contract labor. They predicted a need for “reforecasting of staffing needs” to process all these reports.
“Yet they kept all of this from the public,” lamented Dr. Victory. And she opined that the adverse event data validates what Edward Dowd is finding in his numbers.
One last chart.
“This is stark,” Edward Dowd grieved.
“Chart four shows that work time lost is 50% higher [in 2022] than in 2019.” The rate was 28.6% in 2020 and 2021, but for some worrisome reason, work hours lost accelerated in 2022. “So again,” Edward Dowd continued, “whatever’s going on is accelerating in 2022 — with a virus that is now nothing more than a cold and supposedly-miracle vaccines, so…”
So, it makes no sense, I believe, Edward Dowd was trying to say — if you were to believe the conventional government narrative. The data is the data, and what it tells us is that health is declining — not improving. That suggests that “saving lives,” as our governments told us, wasn’t a priority after all.
-End-
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Source: dailyclout.io
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Thank you for this powerful report. I’m seeing it unfold in real time. It’s good to get the confirmation. Truly scary. People are getting so sick and it’s taking them out and others are getting exhausted picking up the slack. It’s not all the time of course. But I’m seeing it.
A Letter to a Generation - DO YOU REMEMBER MARIO SAVIO?
THE CURRENT HORRORS will not be stopped by politicians and/or lawyers. Those efforts were tried unsuccessfully during the Vietnam era, which you may be too young to remember. They will never work today despite thoughtful analytical essays, websites, petitions, conferences, etc.
Here is a little history from a guy turning ninety this year. Roughly twenty years prior to the Vietnam War there was a murderous dress-rehearsal in Korea. Civilized efforts to stop the terrible bloodshed being done in Vietnam failed repeatedly. Jim Rhodes, Ohio’s State Auditor, for whom I saved a Sunday "New York Times" newspaper (when I worked on weekends at Cole’s Pharmacy in north Columbus, Ohio) after moving up from State Auditor to become Ohio’s governor, called out the Ohio National Guard that shot and killed four students, wounding eight or nine others, at Kent State University where there was a small anti-Vietnam-war demonstration. Believe it or not, the public was overwhelmingly critical of the students, not of the National Guard or of the Ohio governor. The famous Peace Symbol was viewed as despicable and the war escalated. A remarkable young President who opposed Vietnam war planning was killed. Given that atmosphere, how could our government's murderous military activity in Vietnam be brought to an end?
Here is how a free people who became fed up with their own government did it. College students held military draft cards. When any war protest arose they were happy to support it. Many fled to Canada to avoid being drafted and sent to the jungles of Vietnam. The antiwar protest was a campus centered thing. Starting at the University of Wisconsin, it spread to the large land-grant state colleges, and then to Berkeley in CA, Columbia in NYC, and elsewhere. Christian clerics became outspoken protesters and tossed animal blood around a draft board office. War protesters chained themselves to columns of government buildings in Washington D.C. Protests, riots and violence (against property, not humans) erupted throughout the country. That is what was required to finally stop the war, active mass protests. I left my job, taking earned vacation time in NYC to return to my college (Ohio State University, in Columbus, Ohio). Growing a ponytail, I joined the long-haired kids. Many respectable Americans were horrified and unsupportive.
Here is how a younger generation changed America's international policy and stopped that war. Every year a bill came up in Congress to fund the war. It was euphemistically titled something like funding for aid to South Vietnam. Guess what! When President Ford sent it to Congress for signing, he was shocked and amazed when the politicians (although compromised as ever) declined to sign it. There was no more money to continue the war. Simple as that. You might wonder, why did the lobbied guys in Congress not sign the bill, as usual? They were terrified to return to their districts if they signed it. Their hometowns were partially ablaze. We did that. The NY Review of Books had great anti-war articles by Noam Chomsky, Howard Zinn, and others. They were read by a small intellectual minority. Mass protests that required resistance stopped the bloodshed, not philosophy, peace marches, essays, car signs, tatoos and T-shirts.
Without increasingly violent defensive mass protests who knows how much further and longer the Pentagon’s war-mongers, the CIA, and the U.S. Congress would have gone, even after more than fifty thousand young Americans had been killed and tens of thousands injured and crippled? The Pentagon's top military career men, and many American corporations holding government contracts, were getting richer and richer. It has been disclosed that U.S. corporations, supported by their bankers, made and financed equipment for the enemy that killed U.S. troops, just as they had done during both of their two previous World Wars. (If you require confirmation, read the research of Antony Sutton (at bigeye.org/antonysutton.htm). Professor Sutton was attacked by the IRS, which is in the picture today, as usual.
Petitions, a vote, lawsuits, etc., are interesting. Drafting, presenting, defending, and implementing litigation is like watching paint dry. More talk just encourages the usual suspects, letting them sense that all is well for themselves as long as they continue to hoodwink Americans with propaganda (news broadcasts) on their television networks. We need to do the job through online recruitment and active protests regardless of what others think or say. There are enough persons using the internet today that when this program becomes unacceptable to the dreadful few, we will have provided the seeds for massive organized resistance. Perhaps violence (against property only) will be unnecessary. They are few! We are many and we are armed to the teeth for defensive purposes, unlike unfortunate disarmed nationals (such as in Canada, Australia, etc.). Americans are able to protect their Liberty thanks to the predictive ability, historical insight, and foresight of the writers of our great U.S. Constitution, particularly its Second Amendment (which was designed specifically for a time like this).
Young Americans came together, Whites, Blacks, Jews, Gentiles, Hispanics, Asians, etc., those who valued laws encoded in our U.S. Constitution’s Bill of Rights. They confirmed the fundamental rights given to us, not from any government, but that come from God, "to institute new Government, laying its foundations on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. . ." We Americans are blessed, protected by a legal right to assemble, albeit in justifiable anger, for Liberty, Peace, and basic survival (including personal health decisions). Remember the Vietnam era. Look up the speech by Mario Savio in California. It is applicable today.
These are again "the times that try men's souls". We, Americans of all ages and of various and differing political/social viewpoints, must respond in numbers, defending ourselves when necessary to save our own lives as well as the lives of our companions, our children, their children, and of future generations, not only on this continent but throughout the world.
Note: Just so you don’t have to look them up, here are Mario Savio’s closing words:
"There is a time when the operation of the machine becomes so odious, makes you so sick at heart, that you can’t take part; you can’t even passively take part, and you’ve got to put your bodies upon the gears and upon the wheels, upon the levers, upon all the apparatus, and you’ve got to make it stop. And you’ve got to indicate to the people who run it, to the people who own it, that unless you’re free, the machine will be prevented from working at all!"
Are YOU going to help? Enjoy the two sites: NEWSWATCH.ORG and BIGEYE.ORG
Add links to social media and web pages. Mssage them to cell-phone contacts.
XXX000